covid projections for california

"covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_25_39": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 25 and 39 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", "covid-map-txt-btn-play-map-animation-new": "Play the new cases map animation", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_12_17": "Ages 12 to 17", Pessimistic assumes the Omicron hospitalization rate in immunonaive is slightly lower than for Delta and booster vaccine effectiveness is lower,. "covid-vaccine-txt-show-fewer-btn": "Show fewer states", There are a range of reasons for this designation, including: Data is updated every day. Do vaccines protect against the variants? "covid-map-txt-d7ps-sub": "Average daily cases per 100,000 people", The percentage of population vaccinated includes people who have completed their primary series and people who are vaccinated and boosted divided by the population eligible for vaccination. "covid-vaccine-txt-title-header-one-dose": "U.S. COVID-19 vaccine rates by age with at least one dose", This model automatically updates predictions over time, as new data is available. If you are fully vaccinated, you can more safely return to many activities that you might not have been able to do because of the pandemic. Gov. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_fully-vaccinated_12_17": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 12 and 17 who are fully vaccinated is ", "covid-vaccine-txt-map-scale-legend": "Percentage of state population vaccinated", All data and predictions include the delta and omicron variants and other SARS-CoV-2 variants. Fully vaccinated is the percentage of people in the population (by state or United States) who are fully vaccinated. "covid-map-txt-key-forecast": "Upper and lower bounds of estimated forecast", The Global Epidemic and Mobility Model (GLEAM) uses a individual-based, stochastic spatial epidemic model. ", Your actions save lives. Last updatedNovember 3, 2022 at 10:00 AM. "covid-map-txt-d7ps-average": "Average daily cases", During {RATE_MONTH}, unvaccinated people were, COVID-19 hospitalizations over the last four months, Hospitalizations per million (7-day running average), COVID-19 deaths over the last four months, Deaths per million (7-day running average). "covid-map-txt-state-VT": "Vermont", ", {category} account for {metric-value} of confirmed deaths and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. "covid-map-txt-average-tab": "Average positive test rate", Last updated August 15, 2022 at 3:25 PM. The county's COVID-19 dashboard is updated weekly. The UCSF model estimates time-varying reproduction numbers (R_t, or R-effective), the average number of cases infected by a given case over the course of that individuals disease progression, for select Bay Area and California counties/regions. Read our tips to venture out safely. "covid-map-txt-county-modal-title": "COVID-19 data for", The number of COVID-19 diagnostic test results in California reached a total of 188,641,670, an increase of tests from the prior day total. Calculating rates by vaccination and booster status is affected by several factors that make interpretation of recent trends especially difficult. ", "covid-vaccine-txt-main-title": "U.S. COVID-19 vaccine tracker: See your states progress", "covid-map-txt-map-hot-spots-title": "Hot spots in", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_25_39": "Ages 25 to 39", This includes people who have had one dose of the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine or two doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna COVID-19 vaccines. There is an "covid-map-txt-table-hot": "Hot spots map trend data", Data is compiled from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "covid-map-txt-d7vs": "Average daily cases", ", Expanded booster policy assumes a booster campaign starting on October 1, 2022 for ages 18+ with booster coverage reduced by 10% as compared to the 2021-2022 flu vaccine coverage. Thenine Coachella Valley cities added 157 new COVID-19 cases in the week ending Tuesday. Positivity rate is calculated as the number of positive molecular tests divided by the total molecular tests performed. "covid-map-txt-map-hot-spots-subtitle": "This map shows a rolling average of daily cases for the past week. "covid-map-txt-nccs-desc": "Total cases are the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases, including probable cases and cases confirmed by testing. This is the best sign of hot spots. Positivity rate includes people in state and federal prisons, US Immigration and Customs Enforcement facilities, US Marshal detention facilities, and Department of State Hospitals facilities. By Dr. Liji Thomas, MD Jun 8 2021 Reviewed by Benedette Cuffari, M.Sc. "covid-map-txt-state-MS": "Mississippi", "covid-map-txt-table-hot-forecast-warning": "There is an uncertainty interval for this future date. "covid-map-txt-state-AS": "American Samoa", Moderna shares drop as company cuts COVID-19 vaccine sales forecast on "covid-map-txt-view-data-table-trends": "View trends as a table", "covid-map-txt-state-TN": "Tennessee", {category} account for {metric-value} of confirmed cases and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. Learn more about coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and how it spreads. "covid-map-txt-state-MP": "Northern Mariana Islands", California Department of Public Health. California predicted to add more than 680,000 cases by end of January, according to AI model. Official California State Government Website, Cases and deaths by ethnicity, gender, and age, Unvaccinated and vaccinated cases, hospitalizations, and death source data, vaccinated cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, Total tests and positivity rate source data, COVID-19 hospitalized patients and ICU source data. Projections assume "full social distancing" through May. This is the best sign of hot spots. "covid-map-txt-forecast-unavailable-modal-body": "We can't accurately forecast cases for this location at this time. Forecasts of new and total deaths and new hospitalizations continue to be available. Case and death data from Los Angeles and San Diego counties have an additional 1-day lag. "covid-map-txt-pr_md_dpps-b2": "Per 100,000 people", { "covid-map-txt-control-center-new": "Re-center the new cases map", Optimistic assumes the Omicron hospitalization rate in immunonaive is much lower than for Delta and length of stay is shorter than for Delta. "covid-map-txt-switch-hot-spot-visually-hidden-map": "for hot spots map", You can find nowcasts, forecasts, and scenarios: https://calcat.covid19.ca.gov. Daily deaths The ensemble mean model is the average of the available projection models listed above. Ask an expert: How solid are California's coronavirus projections? ", "covid-map-txt-sharing-twitter": "Share this page to Twitter", Updated {PUBLISHED_DATE} with data from {MINUS_ONE_DATE}. Concerns about California winter COVID wave increase - Los Angeles Times Equally weighted ensemble of simple time-series baseline models. This map will be deleted on November 30, 2022, due to many factors, such as delays in reporting and less accurate reporting of cases. Mayo Clinic is tracking COVID-19 cases and forecasting hot spots. "covid-vaccine-txt-title-percent_fully_vaccinated_18_64": "Ages 18 to 64", The Shaman group from Columbia University projects nationwide, county-level estimates of R-effective, daily new confirmed case, daily new infection (both reported and unreported), cumulative demand of hospital beds, ICU, and ventilators, as well as daily mortality (2.5, 25, 50, 75 and 97.5 percentiles). "covid-map-txt-sharing-linkedin": "Share this page to LinkedIn", It's the. An unusually small number of data reported, An unusually high number of data reported, due to backlogs in reporting from the previous day. Late boosters assumes that the reformulated boosters will be available from Nov 13, 2022 for all adults with booster coverage reduced by 10% as compared to the historical seasonal flu vaccination. New variant assumes on September 4, 2022 there is a new variant with a constant influx of 50 weekly infections, for 16 weeks, which has 40% immune escape and 20% increased risk of hospitalization and death as compared to Omicron. Users can download the LEMMA package and input their own data and priors for parameters using R or a simple Excel interface. "covid-map-txt-state-WI": "Wisconsin", These differences are sampled and then added to the most recently observed incidence. "covid-map-txt-state-WV": "West Virginia", The EpiEstim method requires the following inputs: daily positive increase in cases (source used is JHU-CSSE), the time window of daily positive increase in cases to be averaged (7-day window is used), and the serial interval (used a mean of 5.2 days and a SD of 5.1 days). Risk-focused booster policy assumes a booster campaign starting on October 1, 2022 only for ages 55+ and individuals with chronic conditions with booster uptake reduced by 15% as compared to the first booster. "covid-map-txt-tab-btn-map-trend-view-visually-hidden-hot-spots-trends": "Trends view - hot spots", "covid-map-txt-hidden-header": "Map and trends data", "covid-map-txt-select-state": "Change location", Employment Projections - California Taking other forecasts as the input, this is arithmetic average across eligible models of cumulative deaths forecasts. Note that the form of the model may vary between counties and over subsequent published forecasts. "covid-map-txt-slider-current-direction-total": "Last 60 days", "covid-map-txt-us-name": "United States", It is based on the work of researchers at UCSF (Adam Olshen), Stanford (Kristopher Kapphahn, Ariadna Garcia, Isabel Wang and Manisha Desai) and Memorial Sloan-Kettering (Mithat Gonen). The Reich Lab at the UMass-Amherst is an Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence and the source for the official CDC COVID-19 Forecasting page. A group of college students in masks talk to each other in a hallway. Track the progress of the U.S. population with at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine compared with the percentage of people who are fully vaccinated. Ema Sasic covers entertainment and health in the Coachella Valley. California Department of Health Care Access and Information, California Department of Public Health FluCAT, Northeastern University MOBS Lab GLEAM Flu. Testing data from Los Angeles county have a 1-day lag. "covid-map-txt-trends-for": "More trends for", "covid-map-txt-tab-btn-trend-view": "Trend view", ", "covid-map-txt-state-PR": "Puerto Rico", "covid-map-txt-btn-play-map-animation": "Play map animation", "covid-map-txt-table-lang-emptyTable": "No results available in table",

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