golf digest picks: this week

Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. . RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Were back with another edition of PGA 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for Griffin rebounded from an MC at Pebble Beach by finishing T-21 last week in Florida. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? Birdie percentage: Birdies are king this week. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. His ball-striking is elite on this circuit, but hes not reliant on that aspect of his game. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, the American Express and the Genesis Invitational. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our experts love this sneaky good iron player at PGA National, Joseph Bramlett ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,300 FanDuel). Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Released Wednesday. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Recent Form Cheatsheet: The entire fields current form, going back as far as 10 weeks, and synopsis provided by Jason Rousiln. Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. Keep it social. Get Golf picks 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. TPC Scottsdale 3. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Please check your email for a confirmation. Play with trusted, licensed operators. Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. Hes gained more than 10 strokes to the field in nine of his past 10 starts worldwide, which is a staggering number. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Thats a tough scene. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. With a pair of early top 10s among six paydays, the 41-year-old Aussie is an impressive 75th in the FedExCup. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Mayo (@ThePME) was named 2021 Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year by the Fantasy Sports Writing Association, while also being a finalist for Podcast of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. 2023 American Express First Round Leader Picks: Can Davis Riley Start Hot? Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. This event used to be one of, (Editors Note: Alex Noren withdrew from the Honda Classic after publication) The Honda Classic is a full-field event that features a 144-man starting list and, Were back with another edition of PGA DraftKings picks cheat sheets for the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Theyre both inside the top 30 this season in birdie average. Poston. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. The ball striking? The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. The second-place finish is the Europeans fourth top-12 in his last six events. Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,100 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). 1 DFS Player. 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions First Round Leader Picks: Aaron Wise Off to a Hot Start? Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Lowry did get back on track last week in Los Angeles, finishing T-14. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. Take me to the League of Legends category page! SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. We picked our first winner of the new season at the CJ Cup, with Lee Alldrick correctly predicting Rory McIlroys victory at Congaree at 7-1. Gehman: Viktor Hovland Hovland heads back to Mayakoba, looking to win this event for the third consecutive year. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. The exciting thing for Bezuidenhout is his course history. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results may not reflect it, but he seems to be rounding back into form. Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? Millions in Winnings and Counting. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. All Rights Reserved. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Hes posted two top-25 finishes in his past three starts and played well at Riviera for two rounds before fading to T-56. The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Powers: Thomas Detry Might as well attempt to cash in on this hot streak while its happening. Get 50% off your first week or month with promo code SCORE, In-Season Data & Tools (may require NFL Express or higher), Draft Season Data & Tools (may require Draft Kit). 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. Day is elite in multiple metrics. He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 The American Express. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Preview: Can Sungjae Im Bounce Back as Top Stud of the Field? Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine.

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